What exactly did you expect? Richt never really attacks these sisters of the poor and the efforts are always a little sloppy and unfocused. We had some particularly sloppy plays in the first half that made the game a little closer than it should’ve been for a little longer than it should’ve been, but the game was never really in doubt. We got the win, we had no major injuries, we move on.
About
the WC game
I’m not even going to bother here…any attempts at reading into
anything into that performance would be just wasted time and considering I’m
on vacation right now, frankly I don’t want to. Let’s just say it
wasn’t quite as polished as what we were looking for against such an overmatched
opponent. Giving up 3 first half field goals wasn’t good although one
came off a deep fumble.
Bama Offense
This is a balanced Bama attack that has had success at various times this season
on the ground and through the air. Against the best defense they’ve faced
so far (Arkansas) they put up over 40 points, a week after managing only 24
against Vandy, with 7 of those coming from a punt return for TD. It’s
still early, so it’s tough to say whether last week’s performance
was more Bama being good on offense or Arkansas being bad on defense.
At QB, Jr. John Parker Wilson has really established himself as a capable passer
after going through an on-again off-again sophomore season where he replaced
Sr. Brodie Croyle. Coming into this season, he had a respectable 19/10 TD/INT
ratio, but he’s already thrown 3 INTs this season. His season completion
percentage of 56% is pretty much right in line with his career numbers. He’s
somewhat mobile, but at times can become too deliberate, getting sacked in each
game this season despite playing behind a solid OL. Last season he was sacked
27 times. I think he’d prefer to play Arkansas every week, as his two
starts against them have arguably been his two best. He’s not the kind
of QB that’s going to wow you. He’s steady and does a good job of
getting the ball to his playmakers.
At RB, the Tide rolls out redshirt Freshman Terry Grant. At 5-10, 188, Grant
isn’t huge, but he’s shown a knack for toting the rock early and
often. He’s averaged over 20 carries per game for more than 130 ypg so
far with a nice little 6.5 ypc average. He has 5 TDs through two games and has
the speed to take it the distance every time he touches the ball. How explosive
is he? He’s had a carry of 35 yards or more in each game this season.
He’s just a good solid SEC RB…the kind that Bama seems to always
have (Alexander, Darby, etc.). He caught 5 passes in his first two games but
none last week. His backup Glen Coffee is a solid backup, averaging nearly 6
ypc with 2 TDs so far and on pace to gain over 600 yards rushing so they are
in good hands when he’s on the field.
At WR, Bama has some solid options although their go-to guy is banged up some.
DJ Hall is having a tremendous season so far but got beat up some last week.
The senior is a big-play threat, with 13 catches and nearly 300 yards through
3 games, including 172 yards and 2 TDs against Arkansas last week. He’s
averaging over 22 ypc this year. Matt Caddell, Mike McCoy, and Earl Alexander
all provide excellent depth. TE Nick Walker has 2 TDs on the year out of 8 grabs.
He’s averaging under 7 ypc, but when you couple that with the fact that
a quarter of your catches are going for TDs, you’re an obvious redzone
threat.
The Bama OL is the best we’ve seen this season. So. LT Andre Smith is
living up to his billing as the #1 OL recruit in the country 2 years ago after
starting every game at LT since he’s set foot on campus. At 6-4, 340,
he’s a mountain that’s surprisingly agile. His backup is a senior
with 25 career starts. That must be nice. The left side of the line is particularly
steady, with Smith, Jr. Justin Britt (20 starts) and So. Antoine Caldwell (28
starts). RT Mike Johnson is the only newcomer, as RG Marlon Davis started several
games to end the 2006 season. This is a solid, veteran OL that’s played
well this season.
Bottom Line: Bama brings the balance you want in an offense.
They have a solid passing attack with a true downfield threat, a steady QB,
explosive RB and best of all, a proven OL. Our defense has played pretty well
this season, but I don’t think we know yet what we’ve been up against
this year. Given the strength of their OL (and the success that SC had at times),
I’d expect them to run it at us and try to wear us down. We’re pretty
strong up the middle and we’re light at DE and have gotten some suspect
OLB play this season, so I’d look for them to go there, taking a shot
downfield regularly to keep our safeties back.
Key Matchup to watch when they have the ball: We need Ellerbe
and Washington to have big days. If Bama gets Grant rolling early, that will
open them up more for the play-action stuff up top to Hall. If we can put them
in 3rd and long, I like our chances, as we’ve had some success there this
year (it was the 1st two downs we struggled on against SC).
Bama Defense
Normally here I’d tell you about Bama’s national rankings in pass
defense, run defense, etc. but that won’t be the case this week for a
couple of reasons. One, it’s too early in the season to get a good feel
for how good a team is because of too varied a competition level. Two, Bama
played Arkansas, a team that has the ability to make your run defense appear
porous (McFadden has that effect on lots of folks), while making your pass defense
appear incredibly strong. And three, this is their first year under Saban, so
looking at last year’s stats won’t do much good either. Basically,
Bama has a defense that I would say is comparable to ours. Solid, not spectacular.
They play a nominal 3-4, which would be a bit of an oddity in the SEC, but apparently
it’s by name only, as one of the “LBs” plays with his hand
down, a lot like we did a few years back when Antonio Cochran was listed as
a LB for us the whole year and I don’t think ever logged a down standing
up.
Again, Bama lists a 3-man front, but that’s not necessarily the case
as a LB stays in a 3-point stance. What I don’t know is which DE plays
interior, as both listed DEs are similarly sized (6-4 or so, 267 each). At DE
are Sr Wallace Gilberry and Jr Bobby Greenwood, who lead the team at 3.5 and
4.0 TFLs respectively. Gilberry has had a nice career with 32 TFLs and 120 tackles,
so he’s obviously experienced. Starting NG Lorenzo Washington is a GA
native. At 6-4, 283, he’s not the hole-stuffing 320-pounder you look for
in a 3-4 front (more proof this is a 3-4 in name only). Washington is a sophomore
that started great this season but struggled against the physical Arkansas front.
He’s quick, but lacks bulk. He’s backed by a freshman and they’ve
struggled with depth.
I’ll start the LB review with the guy who’s actually playing DE.
They term the position the “Jack” LB, and it’s manned by Sr.
Keith Saunders who is 6th on the team in tackles although none are for loss.
At 6-4, 251, he’s got the size of a DE anyway. The 3 actual LBs are pretty
large as well, with MLB Rolando McClain being the largest at 6-4, 255. He’s
a freshman but leads the team in tackles and has 2 TFLs. He’s looked good
this season but struggled some against Arkansas (pretty much their whole D did)
last week. WLB Darren Mustin missed a chunk of the Arkansas game but is listed
as the starter again although he’ll likely be limited some with his shoulder
injury. If he hadn’t missed that time, he’d likely be the team leader
in tackles. SLB Ezekial Knight doesn’t have a ton of experience but has
played decently and is tied for 2nd on the team in tackles with 18.
The best player in the defensive backfield is all-SEC CB Simeon Castille.
At 6-1, 193, the senior has the size, speed and experience you want in a CB.
He has 10 career INTs though none this year. Opposite Castille is another big
CB in 6-2, 182 pound Lionel Mitchell. Not near the talent that Castille is,
Mitchell’s size will nevertheless make for some tougher perimeter blocking
situations for our WRs. FS Rashad Johnson is the stud at safety. He’s
tied for 2nd on the team in tackles and played well against the formidable Arkansas
running game. SS Marcus Carter is a senior with considerable experience but
hasn’t really produced to his preseason billing (2nd team All-SEC according
to some mags). Kareem Jackson, a freshman, has started two games as an extra
DB.
Bottom Line: Saban enjoys bringing pressure, especially against
young, easily confused OLs (remember playing his LSU teams twice in 2003 when
we had that young OL?). I would expect him to bring considerable heat early
and often, but looking at the stats this year, they only have 4 sacks on the
season, not the typical Saban performance. This Bama defense doesn’t have
the same athletes playing on the field that Saban had at LSU so they can be
burned if Stafford and his WRs can stay on the same page with checkdowns, reads,
etc. Saban will of course be doing his best to switch things up and keep our
O on its heels. We’ve done a decent job of keeping Stafford upright this
year, in large part due to short, controlled passes on a seemingly never-ending
array of screens, etc., but we have yet to face a defensive mind on the order
of Saban and this will be our young OLs first road start (ugh). I don’t
think we can run on Bama to the tune Arkansas did, but I fully expect to see
us make them stop our run, as Velasco versus Washington is probably one of our
better matchups along the line of scrimmage.
Key matchup to watch when we have the ball: I’m tired
of saying watch the OL. This week, I think the key will be if we can attack
freshman MLB Rolando McClain. He started well this season but struggled some
last week. Our offense struggled against SC in large part due to Jasper Brinkley
stuffing our running game. If we can keep McClain at bay, their DL isn’t
all-world and we could have some success running the ball. Given the likelihood
that they’ll come after Stafford, establishing the run would be stupendous.
The Bama Game Overall
Road games in the SEC are never fun, but if you’re going into an opponent’s
stadium, there’s no better coach to have at the helm than Mark Richt.
He’s 22-3 in 7 years in those situations, with the 3 losses coming @LSU
in 2003 (they went on to win a share of the MNC), @AU in 2004 (they went on
to finish the season undefeated) and @UK last year (I can’t explain that
one). That’s enough of a sample size to make the statement that the guy
knows how to get his teams in the right mindset
for going into hostile territory. A good example of this was the last time we
came to Tuscaloosa.
Let’s think back to that game. It was 2002. Bama was coming off a win
over Arkansas with a new coach that they were sure was going to take them to
the top. Pat Dye was telling the media that UGA wasn’t “man enough”
(thanks Pat) to win against a physical, veteran Bama team. Gameday was on campus
and there was a good bit of talk about how Bama was once again ascending to
the top of the SEC. Fast forward 5 years and, well, not much has changed. We’re
two coaches removed from that coach, they are once again talking SEC titles
in T-town and Gameday is on campus. All we need is Pat Dye to come up with something
moderately ignorant (shouldn’t be too hard) and we’re there.
Mentally, you have to like the angle we’re coming in from. Bama is coming
off an emotional, hard-fought win over a physical team that wore them down.
They’re being told all week how they are back in their rightful spot atop
the SEC-West. Meanwhile, in Athens, our boys have had a week to get over the
tough loss to SC where everything seemed to go the wrong way. They aren’t
being given much of a chance and I’m sure the coaches are reminding them
of that.
Look for a close, lower scoring game. Sure Richt has an amazing record on the
road, but it seems like the majority of those were hard-fought, close struggles
that came down to the wire. That’s not actually the case, as many of those
wins were blowouts, but it just seems like when we get together with an SEC
team on the road, the games are nerve-wrecking, see-saw affairs that go down
to the wire. Actually, in SEC West games on the road under Richt, we’ve
averaged winning by 4 points, and that’s including the 22-point win over
AU last season (as well as the 18 point loss there in 2004). I expect no different
this week.
Positional Notes
Kelin Johnson is expected to play, but I don’t know how healthy he’ll
be after missing last week and the 2nd half of the SC game to a rib injury.
In his place, Reshad Jones has played well. I was more than a little surprised
to see that he was currently 2nd on the team in tackles.
Look for Clint Boling to get more time on the OL this week at OG. Chris Davis
continues to struggle and Haverkamp isn’t exactly lighting it up either.
Listening to Cheese Adams, it doesn’t sound like he’ll move inside
unless we have a few injuries. Boling has played really well in limited action
this year, so look for more this week.
Dent got the nod at SLB over Brandon Miller last week and is listed as the
starter there again this week. He played well and Miller handled his demotion
like a man, playing great on special teams. You have to wonder if it was a motivational
tactic or not.
Marcus Washington continued to play well backing up Ellerbe and has apparently
earned the starting spot at MLB with Ellerbe moving over to WLB. The way we
line up, those two are pretty much both MLBs and frankly, they’ve probably
been our two best LBs this season, so getting them on the field at the same
time makes sense.
Bailey & Massaquoi continue to solidify themselves as our top two receiving
threats. Henderson is shifty and dangerous, but his size limits him to catching
the ball more situationally on screens, fly routes, etc (in other words, don’t
look for him over the middle of the field). Massaquoi has looked good so far
this season and I really think he’s due for a breakout game. Bailey has
just been solid.
Moreno is looking more and more like the player we hoped he’d be. Just
wow.
It was nice to see Demiko Goodman make a TD grab Saturday. Thomas Brown gets
a lot of pub for coming back so quickly from his ACL ear, but Goodman is doing
the same thing. He was really playing well last year before going down with
that injury. If he can get back playing well, it would be nice to add that vertical
threat he brings.
OK, given Moreno’s surge towards more playing time, I think it’s
important to note that Thomas Brown is climbing the UGA career rushing chart.
He sits at 12th on the list currently with 2,006 yards. If he manages to gain
more than 575 yards over the remainder of this season, he’ll climb to
5th on the list behind Walker, Hearst, Tate and Hampton (in order). More than
662 yards would move him ahead of Hampton for 4th. Impressive, although it’s
important to remember he’s been the beneficiary of bowl games, SECCGs,
12th games, etc to get more attempts.
Honestly, I’m shocked that we only have one takeaway through 3 games.
You’d think at some point through sheer dumb luck that the ball would
bounce our way at some point. Heck, Blake Mitchell fumbled twice two weeks ago
but they ended up falling on both of them. Bama’s turned the ball over
4 times this year, while forcing 6 turnovers, let’s hope we can get back
on the good side of the turnover ratio this week (we’re currently at -1
after Stafford’s sack and fumble last week).
Random Thoughts
I had this long Munson thing written out and then my computer decided to hate
me again and I lost it. To sum it up, not having Munson on air Saturday will
be a little weird for all of us.
So, does anyone else think LSU is going to absolutely murder SC this weekend?
I’m not saying that because I think SC is a bad team, I’ve just
been amazed at what LSU is doing so far. They are loaded…and deep too.
Whoever is coaching there next season will be tickled with the talent he’s
got. I say that because Carr’s basically out at Michigan unless he pulls
a miracle off and Miles has made it clear that the only place he’d leave
to take over was Michigan. Poor LSU…it’s possible that they could
win two national titles in 4 years only to have both coaches leave.
Not
sure what to make of the whole SC spying thing, but if Richt’s closing
practice this week, there’s obviously something there or enough suspicion
to make Richt feel the need to make that call. I wouldn’t put it past
Spurrier.
Egads but Auburn looks bad. What exactly did Tra Battle do to Brandon Cox last
year that turned him into a complete scaredy-cat (Eagle/Plainsman)? He looks
like that kid in your neighborhood game that always wanted to play two-hand
touch instead of tackle. With that being said, you can count on a ton of Auburn
folks secretly wearing red & black this weekend given our opponent.
I have no idea if UF is that good or UT is that bad. It’s probably a
mixture of the two. That one shocked me. As much as it pains me to say it, Urban
Meyer appears to be a pretty good coach. I think I just threw up in my mouth
a little bit.
OK, trick question, which SEC coach would you least like to be right now?
Tubberville is obviously an option as he’s 1-2 and by all rights should
be 0-3 with a team that was preseason top 15. I’m sure at this point he’s
got someone keeping tabs on all of Lowder’s flight logs. Fulmer is another
quality option, although both of his losses (albeit by a combined 53 points)
were to teams currently in the top 10. I honestly think I’d have to go
with Houston Nutt though, and not because he lost that game last week (although
he did make some complete bonehead coaching decisions down the stretch last
week). I’d choose Nutt because he’s stuck in the most bizarre soap
opera of an Athletic Association-fanbase interaction that I’ve ever heard
of, going back to last season. Those Arkansas fans are absolutely crazy. Frankly,
given their level of insanity, I’m surprised they weren’t founding
members of the SEC. I mean, look around. We have the most obsessive, self-absorbed
fans of any conference in the country, pretty much of any sport. That’s
what makes us the best.
You know, Les Miles caught a lot of heat for saying what he said about USC’s
wide open romp to the title game. Did he look at Oklahoma at all? They’ve
got a great shot at playing for all the marbles and they won’t have played
anyone worth a crap. I mean, yes, they tried some by scheduling Miami, but Miami
and FSU apparently have reverted back to their pre-19800 selves. Basically,
the only hurdles on OU’s schedule are a #7 Texas team that almost lost
to UCF and Texas A&M. I suppose they’ll end up playing Nebraska in
the title game, but they just got shellacked by USC. Do you remember when the
Big XII was good? I’m starting to forget.
I got a few different offers in terms of the direction to take the Random Thoughts
now that Road House has run its course but frankly none of them were overly
appealing. The only thing I could come up with was Nick Saban as Lumberg from
Office Space. “Yeah, I’m gonna need you to blitz this weekend.”
I did get several ideas offered up for the UF game though. That’s a fan
base that’s just easy to target.
Have a safe weekend,
Jody
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