Bottom Line: This is a balanced offense. They threw for 2,411
yards last season and rushed for 2,497…both great numbers. Granted, a
chunk of those yards were against questionable competition, but they were gained
nonetheless. As strong as their running game is, Reid is the key to the offense.
When he’s on, these guys can score with anyone. Bowman is as good a WR
as you’ll find, but it’s kind of the Calvin Johnson effect in that
statistically it appears he disappears in big games, but it mostly has to do
with his QB struggling to get him the ball. For him to do his job and take the
game over, the OL has to protect and the QB has to execute. Against better Ds
that’s obviously going to be harder to do each down. Their spread attack
will move the ball, but against faster teams, they’ll struggle to put
a ton of points on the board. They have some serious speed in the backfield
and certainly have the offensive weapons to move the ball so this will be another
challenge for Martinez.
Key Matchup to watch when they have the ball: Can we pressure
Reid and when we do get pressure, can we contain him? Their OL did give up 19
sacks last year even with Reid and Robinson’s mobility. The more pressure
we can put on him, the tougher it will be for them to get the ball to Bowman,
who could really be a matchup problem for some of our smaller CBs. We’ll
just have to avoid the mad upfield pass rush that opens up massive running lanes
for Reid.
OSU Defense
As lethal as the OSU offense was last season there had to be a reason they
only finished with 7 wins. For reason #1, I present the OSU defense. They finished
89th in total defense (364 ypg) and 82nd in scoring defense (giving up 25.6
ppg). They struggled equally against the run (72nd) and pass (54th). They bring
in a new DC, Tim Beckman, who was the Ohio State CB coach the last 2 years and
was on staff with Urban Meyer before that.
The 2007 OSU defense poses the age-old question, is losing 4 starters off
a bad DL a bad thing? We’ll find out because that’s the case. The
returning pass rushers at DE actually appear to be pretty solid, with Sr. Nathan
Peterson being a potential all-conference selection. He racked up 8 sacks last
season. Opposite him will be fellow senior Marque Fountain who pulled in 4.5
sacks and 13 TFLs last year. Both have battled injuries through their careers,
thus muddying their career numbers.
UGA
fans are quick to point to the lack of size from Marcus Howard…Peterson
is listed at 6-2, 240, exactly 5 pounds heavier than Howard (I say heavier,
Howard is somehow now listed at 250, which can’t be right…he’s
gained good weight, but not that much). Converted MLB Rodrick Johnson provides
depth with Peterson. JUCO transfer Tonga Tea (great name) manages the NT spot
and at 6-0, 310, he’s a load, but it’ll be his first game playing
big-time college football (which works nicely since the same is true of a chunk
of our OL depth chart). Maurice Commings gets the nod at DT and his 6-4, 275-lb
frame will provide the pressure from the interior but eh senior has been largely
unproductive in his career, managing only 1 start and 8 tackles.
The LB spot for OSU is a source of considerable attention due in large part
to the presence of former SLB Chris Collins. Collins moves to MLB this year.
He’s a tackling machine when healthy and was leading the team in tackles
last season before going down with a torn ACL 6 games in. On the football field
he’s a terror at 6-2, 240. Off the field he’s a lightning rod for
controversy considering the looming specter of his part in the rape of a 12-year
old girl in his hometown. He’s been under investigation since May of 2004.
It’s pretty sickening, but until it’s resolved, he’s playing,
although probably a step slower until his knee completely recovers. WLB Patrick
Lavine stepped in last season as a true freshman and managed to finish 2nd on
the team in tackles but is listed as a co-starter at one of the OLB spots (fighting
a nagging injury) with Jeremy Nathon who played well once Collins went down.
Moving to the other OLB spot is converted FS Donovan Woods, who also happened
to start at QB in 2004. Woods is a tremendous athlete and should adapt well,
but he’s new to the position.
Sophomore SS Andre Sexton is a burner at safety. He’s also a sure tackler,
who led the team in tackles last season and managed 8.5 TFLs as well, not too
shabby for a DB, especially a freshman DB. Converted WR Ricky Price has won
the starting job at FS. Obviously he’ll have solid ball skills (I don’t
know, maybe not, some WRs can’t catch a cold), it’ll just be an
instincts issue back there for the first time. At CB, senior Martel Van Zant
begins his final season. He had a solid 67 tackles last season with two INTs.
Opposite Van Zant will be Jacob Lacey, a junior of nondescript experience who
had a good Fall practice.
Bottom Line: The defense actually returns several starters
somewhere in the unit, the problem is some of the starters have shifted to other
positions and/or lost their jobs, so the whole “they’re returning
8 starters on defense” thing isn’t entirely accurate. While this
might be a good thing considering the shakiness of the D in general last season,
it destabilizes some of their experience. Starting a converted WR at safety
and a converted safety at LB should speed up the overall defense but there will
be an adjustment period. I expect us to present a balanced attack on Saturday,
a tenant of the Richt era in Athens. I wouldn’t be surprised (given our
young OL) if we don’t try to simplify things early on and just run the
ball at them to open up the pass later. I’m even more inclined to think
this way after looking at the shakiness of their interior DL. Load up behind
Velasco and let’s just keep those RBs fresh. Heck, with Bobo back there,
who knows.
Key matchup to watch when we have the ball: Can this oh-so-young
OL of ours (with so much potential) manage to open holes for our RBs while closing
holes for their D? If we can establish a ground game, it will make Stafford’s
life that much easier once we start to throw it some.
The OSU Game Overall
I’m not going to make the overdone comparison of Oklahoma State being
2007’s version of an over-hyped opponent (Boise St) coming into Athens
looking to prove themselves and trying to win a statement game. This is a much
better team than the one Dan Hawkins brought here two years ago. Oklahoma State
is a quality opponent with an explosive offense that plays in a BCS conference.
While Sanford will be intimidating, it’s not like playing in Lincoln or
Austin or Norman is a walk in the park. I would equate this team to Kentucky.
Questionable defense, explosive offense, right down to the oversized QB. Could
they beat us? Absolutely (seems like that happened not too long ago). Should
they beat us? No, we’re simply a deeper, more talented, mo-better team.
I’m not saying that from a point of pride or arrogance, I’m simply
stating what history has proven. Oklahoma State won seven games last year and
it’s resulted in people talking about them as a hot team. UGA won 9 games
last season and people were wondering what was wrong with them.
Take
a closer look at what the Cowboys did last season and you’ll see a few
things pop out at you. We’ve already talked about how much their defense
struggled last season, but averaging giving up nearly 31 per game over your
final 9 games is horrible, no matter who you’re playing, and it’s
not like they got to that average by giving up 60 to Texas or anything like
that, they were consistently bad, giving up 30 or more 6 times (for reference,
under Richt, UGA has given up 30 or more 4 times…since he arrived…6
seasons ago). The least amount of points OSU gave up in that 9-game stretch
was 24 in a blowout win over Baylor. The most was 36 to Texas. They somehow
managed to give up 34 to Houston, a team that lost to Lousianna-Lft. I guess
their best defensive performance of the season was managing to only give up
27 against rival Oklahoma.
For even more warm and fuzziness, take a gander at a few of Richt’s pertinent
records. One, in openers, Richt is 6-0, including 3-0 against OOC opponents
that wear orange (Clemson twice and BSU once). Two, Richt is 25-2 in non-conference
games, with neither of those losses coming in Athens (both in bowl games). This
is a coach that knows how to prepare his teams.
Look, I know that reading this it may or may not come off like I think we’re
going to destroy OSU. I honestly don’t know how I feel about the outcome
and I try to write about these things as objectively as possible, but this is
a team that lost on the road to Houston and Kansas St. Their first road game
last year was Ark St (who travels TO that place?)…after that game (where
they gave up 7), in their final 5 road games, they gave up 30 or more in EACH
contest (including Houston, KSt, Kansas, Texas and TT)…that’s not
good. These guys have some offensive punch and it kept them in a bunch of games.
Outside of Texas their worst loss was 9 points, but their defense kept the other
teams in as well. If we can force some turnovers and keep our offense on the
field, I like our chances.
Positional Notes
I was more than a little disappointed to hear that Moreno has been putting
the ball on the ground some lately. It’s the first chink I’ve heard
in this guy’s armor.
It looks like Figgins will start at TE in Tripp Chandler’s suspended
absence. He’s still drawing praise from Richt for his blocking prowess,
so something tells me that’s why he got the nod. Ward’s not far
behind.
Bailey sitting early this week with a concussion is frustrating because I
think he’ll really add a nice dimension to our passing attack. It looks
like he’ll play, but I want everyone loggin mintues right now so the WRs
and Stafford can be clicking.
The loss of S Antavious Coates to his 4th (that’s right, 4) ACL injury
doesn’t really impact the depth chart as he was fighting for 3rd string,
but it’s difficult to see a kid who tried so hard so many times to see
the field, only to be unable to do so for physical reasons. That’s tough.
You all know about the OL. It’s young and the backups are younger. Richt
is convinced that new OL coach Stacey Searels is the best in the country. He’ll
certainly be given every opportunity to prove it with all these youngsters in
the mix.
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